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I should have posted this a lot earlier than the day before the primary election, especially since I know a lot of people who vote Permanent Absentee and have already mailed their ballots in. Better late than never, though.
There's a big push here in Santa Clara for Measure J, committing millions of dollars of public money to build a stadium for the "San Francisco" '49ers.
I hear constant radio ads, talking about how it will "bring jobs" and "boost the economy" and "benefit the schools". In fact, one of those ads is playing as I type this.
I am deeply suspicious of these claims. Has anyone ever done any solid, rigorous studies on the real economic benefits that the presence of a big-league sports franchise claims to provide to a city? Has anyone looked at how the economy of a city swings around when a sports franchise arrives—or when one leaves?
The gut reaction a lot of people have seems to be, "this is a great, big project; of course it will bring great, big changes". There's a lot of talk about intangibles like "prestige" that will bring increased tourist activity, and that it will be a Major Civic Improvement, the centerpiece of a mercantile theme park; there's an air of Shiny Happy Utopianism to these proposals that makes Walt Disney's plans for EPCOT sound cynical.
My gut reaction is that the presence of a sports team doesn't make a lot of difference in a city's "prestige", or in the vacation choices of most travelers. Los Angeles is still Los Angeles, with or without the Raiders—and Oakland, alas, remains Oakland.
I also have to say that, in my experience, the neighborhoods which are fortunate enough to have a stadium descend upon like some Spielbergian mothership seldom look like they've had a significant economic boost. They're not so much "Utopian Theme Parks" full of prosperous businesses and happy locals as they are, um, scuzzy slums punctuated by parking lots.
Full Disclosure: I don't have a lot of use for organized sports. Growing up, baseball was just something that preempted weekend reruns of Star Trek, and football's greatest virtue was that it seldom interrupted things that I wanted to watch. Still, if the presence of a sports franchise really did have a measurable positive impact on the local flux of valuta into the coffers of the city and the pockets of the citizenry, I'd be all for it.
I'm just not convinced.
I hear a lot from the supporters of Measure J.
I don't hear a lot from the opponents.
To me, in this day and age, that doesn't suggest that there are more or better reasons to support the stadium.
It says that someone with deep, deep pockets is shelling out a lot of Dead Presidents to convince us that there are—and that those who disagree don't have nearly as many resources to make their case.
Of course, in this day and age, one doesn't need a lot of folding green to make one's case, and to present hard data. It's just harder to get people's attention without it.
It took some searching to find Santa Clara Plays Fair: The Problems with Measure J. I cheerfully admit that the numbers they present and the claims they make dovetail with my biases and prejudices—however, they're also more thorough and detailed than any of the pro-stadium rhetoric being bandied about.
Follow the numbers, follow the dollars.
There's a big push here in Santa Clara for Measure J, committing millions of dollars of public money to build a stadium for the "San Francisco" '49ers.
I hear constant radio ads, talking about how it will "bring jobs" and "boost the economy" and "benefit the schools". In fact, one of those ads is playing as I type this.
I am deeply suspicious of these claims. Has anyone ever done any solid, rigorous studies on the real economic benefits that the presence of a big-league sports franchise claims to provide to a city? Has anyone looked at how the economy of a city swings around when a sports franchise arrives—or when one leaves?
The gut reaction a lot of people have seems to be, "this is a great, big project; of course it will bring great, big changes". There's a lot of talk about intangibles like "prestige" that will bring increased tourist activity, and that it will be a Major Civic Improvement, the centerpiece of a mercantile theme park; there's an air of Shiny Happy Utopianism to these proposals that makes Walt Disney's plans for EPCOT sound cynical.
My gut reaction is that the presence of a sports team doesn't make a lot of difference in a city's "prestige", or in the vacation choices of most travelers. Los Angeles is still Los Angeles, with or without the Raiders—and Oakland, alas, remains Oakland.
I also have to say that, in my experience, the neighborhoods which are fortunate enough to have a stadium descend upon like some Spielbergian mothership seldom look like they've had a significant economic boost. They're not so much "Utopian Theme Parks" full of prosperous businesses and happy locals as they are, um, scuzzy slums punctuated by parking lots.
Full Disclosure: I don't have a lot of use for organized sports. Growing up, baseball was just something that preempted weekend reruns of Star Trek, and football's greatest virtue was that it seldom interrupted things that I wanted to watch. Still, if the presence of a sports franchise really did have a measurable positive impact on the local flux of valuta into the coffers of the city and the pockets of the citizenry, I'd be all for it.
I'm just not convinced.
I hear a lot from the supporters of Measure J.
I don't hear a lot from the opponents.
To me, in this day and age, that doesn't suggest that there are more or better reasons to support the stadium.
It says that someone with deep, deep pockets is shelling out a lot of Dead Presidents to convince us that there are—and that those who disagree don't have nearly as many resources to make their case.
Of course, in this day and age, one doesn't need a lot of folding green to make one's case, and to present hard data. It's just harder to get people's attention without it.
It took some searching to find Santa Clara Plays Fair: The Problems with Measure J. I cheerfully admit that the numbers they present and the claims they make dovetail with my biases and prejudices—however, they're also more thorough and detailed than any of the pro-stadium rhetoric being bandied about.
Follow the numbers, follow the dollars.
no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 05:32 pm (UTC)I'm more familiar with the effect of sports at the collegiate level. At UT-Austin, a whole lot of effort and money went into the sports program there, but very little came out. I remember the sports programs were uniquely exempted from requirements to share money with the University at large -- unlike the rest of the campus, who had to fork over some of their hard-earned grants to the university.
I'll be interested to see if you turn up any hard data on this.
no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 05:52 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:26 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:32 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 05:54 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:30 pm (UTC)There's the trick: everything will work according to plan if we can just write the rules accordingly!
Yeah, that's it! That's the ticket!
"We're an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality."
no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:12 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:23 pm (UTC)Is it the station I listen to? Are other radio stations playing a different mix of political ads? Have the progressives just written off the "classic rock" station, because they know its demographic is just Middle Class White Assholes?
... jeez, under its faux-rebellious veneer, maybe the "classic rock" demographic has always been Middle Class White Assholes.
no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:52 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 07:22 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-08 02:42 pm (UTC)The other big network of radio stations is Cumulus, but I'm less sure about them: Clear Channel is a big monolithic corporate entity and as these things go, their stations are all basically taking orders from the same place.
KFOG is part of the Cumulus network and I don't know if it does the same things or not -- it SEEMS more locally-oriented... but that could just be clever work on the part of the folks there.
But I, as ever, digress:
The Meg Whitman adds (they really irk me; I used to work for her, in a loose sense) and the Yes on J ads are all over because those campaigns are spending big to make it happen.
The only anecdotal evidence I can throw out either way is that big construction sites provide an economic boost in some areas for the duration of construction, and what is now 'HP Pavillion' (otherwise known as the Shark Tank) has done some pretty good things to the area there. The downside is, as ever, traffic. Which at least the proposed stadium site will handle better, being built next to Great America which already has it's own traffic issues.
Is J a good idea or a bad one? Hell if I know; economic stimulus makes me want to knee-jerk and say yes, but Santa Clara's economy isn't really built on construction and tourism so who knows?
no subject
Date: 2010-06-08 06:37 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-08 07:43 pm (UTC)And there's no one yet who's found a way to make money with an 80s / Prog Rock mix radio station, so...
no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 06:35 pm (UTC)http://www.halfwaytoconcord.com/big-lies-begin-for-stadiums-in-oakland-and-santa-clara/
http://www.american.com/archive/2008/april-04-08/a-closer-look-at-stadium-subsidies
no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 07:24 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2010-06-07 11:08 pm (UTC)The *real* reason they want to build a stadium is because its a business that will hopefully bring the investors more money. ^^ That's all. Or I should say, that seems to be the most common and or logical reason. I too have no use for organized sports, so I'm likely biased.
no subject
Date: 2010-06-11 07:53 am (UTC)